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Fordham Softball Highly Ranked in First RPI


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txram
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« on: March 20, 2017, 05:08:35 pm »

In the first NCAA Softball RPI released for 2017, the Rams came in #35, close to where they were earlier in the top-25 only rankings.
http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/softball/d1/ncaa-womens-softball-rpi

Elsewhere among NE teams, Pitt is #31, Syracuse is #68, BC is #71, St. John's is #77, Hofstra is #96, and Penn State is #100.  The highest other A10 team is St. Louis at #151.

We play Hofstra tomorrow and St. John's later in the year.  Not much chance to move up a lot, but we could get to #25-30 if we keep winning.
« Last Edit: March 20, 2017, 05:43:04 pm by txram » Report Spam   Logged

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ace93
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« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2017, 09:34:27 pm »

Don't be surprised to see the RPI get worse even if we keep winning.
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txram
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« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2017, 11:14:24 pm »

Don't be surprised to see the RPI get worse even if we keep winning.
Yep that's possible too based on the weakness of the A10 teams.
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« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2017, 09:07:26 am »

St. John's was picked to win the Big East. That could be a good game/test late in the regular season.
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« Reply #4 on: March 22, 2017, 02:18:36 pm »

Yep that's possible too based on the weakness of the A10 teams.
Unfortunately that is spot on when you consider:
Dayton - Ranked 157
UMASS - Ranked 177
GW - Ranked 187
La Salle - Ranked 198
St Joe's - Ranked 233

Amazing at the drop off after the Rams for the rest of the A10 - Ram's still have a good team and have played well
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« Reply #5 on: March 28, 2017, 09:23:14 pm »

Yep that's possible too based on the weakness of the A10 teams.

I estimate that if we go 19-3 the rest of the way or worse, our RPI will get worse.  It isn't guaranteed because it depends on our opponents records and their opponents records, etc, and those aren't known yet.  But I (roughly) estimate 20-2 or better will be needed to improve the RPI.  There is also a chance that 22-0 the rest of the way could worsen our RPI depending on how things play out.

The good news is that even if we go 19-3 and our RPI gets worse, it won't be by much, and we'd probably be in line for an at large bid if needed, because we'd be 42-10 heading into the A-10 tourney with some really good NC wins. 

The RPI is simplistic, and the NCAA looks at it, but not as much as they used to because they realize more and more that it's not a very good metric, and there are others that are much better.
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txram
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« Reply #6 on: March 29, 2017, 12:12:46 am »

I estimate that if we go 19-3 the rest of the way or worse, our RPI will get worse.  It isn't guaranteed because it depends on our opponents records and their opponents records, etc, and those aren't known yet.  But I (roughly) estimate 20-2 or better will be needed to improve the RPI.  There is also a chance that 22-0 the rest of the way could worsen our RPI depending on how things play out.

The good news is that even if we go 19-3 and our RPI gets worse, it won't be by much, and we'd probably be in line for an at large bid if needed, because we'd be 42-10 heading into the A-10 tourney with some really good NC wins. 

The RPI is simplistic, and the NCAA looks at it, but not as much as they used to because they realize more and more that it's not a very good metric, and there are others that are much better.
I can't disagree with any of that.
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« Reply #7 on: April 12, 2017, 11:17:49 am »

April 9, 2017 RPI Rankings have Rams at #51 just behind the Northwestern Wildcats (15-20) who the Rams defeated in Feb
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txram
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« Reply #8 on: April 12, 2017, 02:34:17 pm »

April 9, 2017 RPI Rankings have Rams at #51 just behind the Northwestern Wildcats (15-20) who the Rams defeated in Feb
Our losses to poorly ranked teams hurt.  Even beating them all of the games could have led to slippage.  I think we'll lose a few more without Van Hoven and slip further, endangering an at large bid if we don't win the A10.   
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